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Fundamentals

Vig / Juice (Margin)

The bookmaker's built-in profit margin on every market they offer.

01 Definition

Vig (short for vigorish), also called juice or margin, is the commission bookmakers build into their odds. If you add up the implied probabilities of all outcomes in a market, the total will exceed 100% — the excess is the vig. Typical vig ranges from 2-10% depending on the bookmaker and market.

02 Example

A coin flip should be 2.00 / 2.00 (50% each, 100% total). But a bookmaker offers 1.91 / 1.91 (52.4% each, 104.7% total). That extra 4.7% is the vig — the bookmaker's guaranteed profit margin.

03 Why It Matters

The vig is what makes betting a negative-sum game by default. To profit, your edge must exceed the vig. A 5% vig means you need to be at least 5% more accurate than the implied probability just to break even.

04 How thetipster.xyz Uses This

Our minimum EV threshold accounts for vig. We don't flag a signal unless the expected value exceeds the estimated vig on that market, ensuring true positive EV for our users.

Related Terms

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