01 Definition
An edge is any sustainable advantage that allows you to profit against the bookmaker. It can come from superior information, better models, faster execution, or exploiting market inefficiencies. Having an edge means your estimated probability differs from (and is more accurate than) the implied probability of the odds.
02 Example
Your model detects that the true probability of Over 1.5 Goals is 68% but the bookmaker prices it at 58.1% implied. Your edge is the 9.9% gap. If your model is right more often than it's wrong, that edge converts to profit.
03 Why It Matters
Without an edge, you're gambling — relying on luck. With an edge, you're investing — relying on mathematics. The entire professional betting industry revolves around finding, quantifying, and exploiting edges before they disappear.
04 How thetipster.xyz Uses This
Our edge is our proprietary in-play model. It estimates goal probabilities in live football matches more accurately than the market in specific situations (totals/over markets). Every signal we send represents a specific, quantified edge expressed as expected value.
Related Terms
See Edge in action
Our live signal feed applies these concepts in real time. 71.3% hit rate, +21.4% ROI on flat stakes across 1,800+ signals.