01 Definition
Closing line value measures whether the odds you bet at were better than the final (closing) odds offered by the market. If you bet Over 1.5 Goals at 1.72 and the line closes at 1.55, you got closing line value — the market moved in your direction, confirming you spotted value early.
02 Example
You receive a signal to bet Over 1.5 at 1.72 when the match is at minute 62. By minute 70, the odds have dropped to 1.45. You've captured 27 cents of closing line value — the market caught up to what the algorithm detected early.
03 Why It Matters
CLV is considered the strongest predictor of long-term betting success. Even more than hit rate or ROI, consistently beating the closing line proves that your selections are genuinely detecting mispriced odds. It's the ultimate validation that your method works.
04 How thetipster.xyz Uses This
Because we operate in-play where odds move rapidly, CLV is particularly relevant. Our signals are timed to capture odds before the market adjusts. The speed of our delivery (< 2 seconds) is specifically designed to maximize the CLV our users capture.
Related Terms
See Closing in action
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